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--- version:introduced version+++ version:(document, no version)@@ -1,94 +1,292 @@-HOUSE BILL 106--57th legislature - STATE OF NEW MEXICO - second session, 2026--INTRODUCED BY--Mark Duncan and Luis M. Terrazas--AN ACT--RELATING TO TAXATION; CREATING THE HOME-BASED CHILD CARE INCOME-TAX CREDIT.--BE IT ENACTED BY THE LEGISLATURE OF THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO:-- SECTION 1. A new section of the Income Tax Act is enacted-to read:-- "[NEW MATERIAL] HOME-BASED CHILD CARE INCOME TAX CREDIT.---- A. A taxpayer who files an individual New Mexico-income tax return, is not a dependent of another individual and-does not enroll the taxpayer's dependent child in a state-funded or private child care facility or a state-funded or-private pre-kindergarten program may claim a credit against the-taxpayer's tax liability imposed pursuant to the provisions of-the Income Tax Act. The credit authorized pursuant to this-section may be referred to as the "home-based child care income-tax credit".-- B. Except as provided in Subsection D of this-section, the amount of credit shall be in the amount of one-thousand dollars ($1,000) per month for each month the-dependent child is not eligible to enroll in public school.-- C. A taxpayer shall apply for certification of-eligibility for the tax credit from the early childhood-education and care department on forms and in the manner-prescribed by that department. Except as provided by-Subsection F of this section, only one tax credit shall be-certified per dependent child not enrolled in a state-funded or-private pre-kindergarten program per month. The early-childhood education and care department may issue rules-governing the procedure for administering the provisions of-this subsection. The early childhood education and care-department shall provide the department with the certificates-of eligibility issued pursuant to this subsection in an-electronic format at regularly agreed-upon intervals.-- D. For the 2027 taxable year and each subsequent-taxable year, the amount of credit provided in Subsection B of-this section shall be adjusted to account for inflation. The-department shall make the adjustment by multiplying the credit-amount by a fraction, the numerator of which is the consumer-price index ending during the prior taxable year and the-denominator of which is the consumer price index ending in tax-year 2025. The result of the multiplication shall be rounded-down to the nearest one dollar ($1.00), except that if the-result would be an amount less than the corresponding amount-for the preceding taxable year, then an adjustment shall not be-made.-- E. That portion of the home-based child care income-tax credit claimed by a taxpayer that exceeds the taxpayer's-income tax liability in the taxable year in which the home-based child care income tax credit is claimed shall be refunded-to the taxpayer.-- F. Married individuals who file separate returns-for a taxable year in which they could have filed a joint-return may each claim only one-half of the home-based child-care income tax credit provided in this section that would have-been allowed on a joint return.-- G. The credit provided by this section shall be-included in the tax expenditure budget pursuant to Section-7-1-84 NMSA 1978, including the total annual aggregate cost of-the credit.-- H. As used in this section, "dependent child" means-a child who:-- (1) is a "dependent" as defined by Section 152-of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as that section may be-amended or renumbered, but also includes any minor child or-stepchild of the taxpayer who would be a dependent for federal-income tax purposes if the public assistance contributing to-the support of the child or stepchild was considered to have-been contributed by the taxpayer; and-- (2) is age five or younger."-- SECTION 2. APPLICABILITY.--The provisions of this act-apply to taxable years beginning on or after January 1, 2026.--- 4 -+Fiscal impact reports (FIRs) are prepared by the Legislative Finance Committee (LFC) for standing finance+committees of the Legislature. LFC does not assume respon sibility for the accuracy of these reports if they+are used for other purposes.++F I S C A L I M P A C T R E P O R T++BILL NUMBER: House Bill 106+SHORT TITLE: Home-Based Child Care Income Tax Credit+SPONSOR: Duncan/Terrazas+LAST+UPDATE:+ ORIGINAL+DATE:++02/03/26++ANALYST: Graeser/Faubion++REVENUE*+(dollars in thousands)+Type FY26 FY27 FY28 FY29 FY30 Recurring or+Nonrecurring+Fund+Affected+PIT $0.0 ($665,000.0) ($685,000.0) ($705,000.0) ($725,000.0) Recurring General Fund+Parentheses indicate revenue decreases.+*Amounts reflect most recent analysis of this legislation.++ESTIMATED ADDITIONAL OPERATING BUDGET IMPACT*+(dollars in thousands)+Agency/Program FY26 FY27 FY28 3 Year+Total Cost+Recurring or+Nonrecurring+Fund+Affected+ECECD $0 $251.0 $251.0 $502.0 Recurring General Fund+TRD/ACD $0 Up to $150.0 Up to $150.0 Up to $300.0 Recurring General Fund+Parentheses ( ) indicate expenditure decreases.+*Amounts reflect most recent analysis of this legislation.++Sources of Information+LFC Files++Agency or Agencies Providing Analysis+Early Childhood Education and Care Department+Ethics Commission++Agency or Agencies That Were Asked for Analysis but did not Respond+Public Education Department+Taxation and Revenue Department++SUMMARY++Synopsis of House Bill 106++House Bill 106 (HB106) creates a new personal income tax credit, the home- based child care+income tax credit, for taxpayers who do not enroll a dependent child in a state -funded or private+child care facility or a state- funded or private pre -kindergarten program. The credit is available+for each month a dependent child is not eligible to enroll in public school.++House Bill 106 – Page 2++The credit is set at $1,000 per month per eligible dependent child. An eligible child is defined as+age five or younger and not eligible to enroll in public school kindergarten. The maximum+annual benefit is $12 thousand per child, and the credit is fully refundable.++Taxpayers must apply to the Early Childhood Education and Care Department (ECECD) for+certification of eligibility. Certified taxpayers would then claim the credit as part of their annual+personal income tax filing with the Taxation and Revenue Department.++The provisions of the bill apply to taxable years beginning on or after January 1, 2026, and the+bill does not include a sunset date.++FISCAL IMPLICATIONS++This bill creates a fully refundable home -based child care income tax credit of $1,000 per month+per eligible dependent child, or up to $12 thousand per child annually. Because the credit is+refundable, the full value of the credit represents a potential reduction to general fund revenues.+The fiscal impact therefore depends primarily on the number of children who meet the bill’s+eligibility criteria and on household participation rates.++To bound the potential impact, LFC developed two complementary approaches to estimating the+number of eligible children. The first approach begins with the estimated population of children+under age five in New Mexico, approximately 111,500 based on birth cohort data. LFC then+subtracts an estimated 45,000 children under five who are enrolled in Early Childhood Education+and Care Department (ECECD) –registered child care homes or licensed facilities, adjusted to+reflect the recent expansion of the universal child care program. The remaining approximately+66,500 children are not currently enrolled in registered or licensed care and could therefore meet+the bill’s requirement that the dependent child not be enrolled in a state -funded or private child+care facility or pre -kindergarten program. If all children in this residual population were eligible+and claimed the credit for a full year, the resulting maximum annual fiscal impact would be+approximately $798 million.++Recognizing that this residual population likely overstates true eligibility and participation, LFC+also considered workforce participation as a proxy for likely utilization. U.S. Census Bureau+estimates indicate that approximately 60 percent of children under age five have all available+parents participating in the workforce in New Mexico, implying that 40 percent have an+available parent not in the workforce. Applying this share to the estimated under -five population+yields approximately 44,600 children who could be eligible for home -based care under the bill.+At the annual credit amount of $12 thousand per child, this approach yields an estimated annual+fiscal impact of approximately $535.2 million. This scenario is more closely aligned with the+bill’s intent to support families with an available parent providing care at home but may+understate eligibility if some households with an available parent are nonetheless enrolled in+registered or licensed care.++Given the uncertainty surrounding actual participation, certification outcomes administered by+ECECD, partial-year eligibility, shifting from out-of-home care to in-home care, and compliance+with the bill’s requirements, LFC treats these two estimates as bookends rather than point+forecasts. As a planning assumption, LFC considers the midpoint between the two scenarios—+approximately $665 million annually—to represent a reasonable central estimate of the likely+fiscal exposure. Actual impacts could be higher or lower depending on take -up rates, behavioral+House Bill 106 – Page 3++responses, and administrative enforcement. This estimate was grown by an inflation factor to+account for the indexing of credit.++This bill creates a tax expenditure with a cost that is difficult to determine but likely significant.+Estimating the cost of tax expenditures ex ante is difficult. Confidentiality requirements+surrounding certain taxpayer information create uncertainty, and analysts must frequently+interpret third-party data sources. The statutory criteria for a tax expenditure may be ambiguous,+further complicating the initial cost estimate of the fiscal impact. Once a tax expenditure has+been approved, information constraints continue to create challenges in tracking the real costs+(and benefits) of tax expenditures. LFC has serious concerns about the substantial risk to state+revenues from tax expenditures and the increase in revenue volatility from erosion of the revenue+base. The committee recommends the bill adhere to the LFC tax expenditure policy principles+for vetting, targeting, and reporting or action be postponed until the implications can be more+fully studied.++SIGNIFICANT ISSUES++HB106 creates a fully refundable home -based child care income tax credit of $1,000 per month+per eligible dependent child under age five who is not enrolled in public school, a state-funded or+private child care facility, or a state -funded or private pre -kindergarten program. The policy+intent of the bill appears to be to reduce the financial necessity for parents of very young children+to participate in the workforce by directly compensating families who provide care at home.++Some dual-earner households may elect for one parent to remain at home rather than utilize paid+child care, reducing demand for publicly supported or subsidized child care slots. To the extent+this occurs, the state could experience some offsetting savings on the appropriations side from+reduced utilization of universal or subsidized child care programs. However, an unknown share+of beneficiaries —particularly married households with toddlers —already have one parent+staying home. In those cases, the credit would primarily compensate behavior that is already+occurring rather than induce new labor -force or child -care decisions. In tax policy terms, this+reflects “buying the base,” where a substantial portion of program cost is attributable to existing+electors rather than behavioral change, increasing overall fiscal exposure without a+commensurate change in outcomes.++The bill’s eligibility structure is closely tied to New Mexico’s early education framework.+Children must be under the age at which public school kindergarten is an option, which generally+requires a child to be five years old before September 1 of the school year, with limited early+enrollment options thereafter. As a result, the bill applies to a population currently served largely+by private child care providers or informal care arrangements. While the credit may shift some+families away from formal care, it does not directly expand early learning capacity and could+affect enrollment stability for private providers, particularly smaller or rural providers that rely+on consistent participation to cover fixed costs.++Affordability concerns underpin the bill’s rationale. Federal guidance from the U.S. Department+of Health and Human Services considers child care “affordable” if it costs no more than 7+percent of household income, yet many families spend substantially more. In New Mexico,+annual costs for center -based care for toddlers and preschoolers can exceed $10,000 per child.+While the credit c ould offset these costs for eligible families, it would also provide the same+benefit to households that may already have the financial means to remain single- income, raising+House Bill 106 – Page 4++questions about targeting and distributional efficiency, particularly in the absence of income+limits.++The size and refundability of the credit raise significant administrative, compliance, and fiscal+control considerations. The credit may reach $12 thousand per child per year and is fully+refundable, meaning taxpayers may receive a net payment from the state even with no income+tax liability. Refundable credits operate outside the annual appropriations process, and utilization+could grow more quickly than anticipated, complicating revenue forecasting and reducing budget+flexibility.++There is also a heightened risk of improper or fraudulent claims. While verification of a child’s+age could be accomplished through birth records, detecting under -the-table income or informal+employment would be difficult, particularly if fewer W -2s are issued as parents exit the formal+workforce. In addition, verifying compliance for families utilizing informal or unregistered child+care arrangements would be challenging. The bill conditions eligibility on a child not being+enrolled in a state- funded or private child care or pre -kindergarten program, but many families+rely on care provided by relatives, neighbors, home -based nannies, or unlicensed providers that+operate outside formal reporting systems and do not generate enrollment records. Distinguishing+between true home-based parental care and informal third-party care would therefore be difficult+to administer and enforce, increasing the risk of improper claims and placing additional+verification burdens on both ECECD and the Taxation and Revenue Department (TRD).++Finally, the creation of a fully refundable tax credit raises constitutional considerations under the+Anti-Donation Clause of Article IX, Section 14 of the New Mexico Constitution. Courts have+held that both refundable and non- refundable tax credits may violate the clause when they+function as targeted subsidies rather than bargained- for exchanges. Because a refundable credit+can result in a negative tax liability—requiring direct payments from the state—the constitutional+analysis turns on whether the state receives sufficient consideration in exchange for the transfer.+Anticipated public benefits alone are not sufficient to remove a transfer from the Anti- Donation+Clause’s scope. It is unclear whether the credit’s conditions would be deemed sufficiently+contractual in nature or whether any enumerated exceptions would apply, and the bill could+therefore be subject to constitutional scrutiny.++PERFORMANCE IMPLICATIONS++The LFC tax policy of accountability is met with the bill’s requirement to report annually to an+interim legislative committee regarding the data compiled from the reports from taxpayers taking+the credit and other information to determine whether the credit is meeting its purpose. These+data will be published in the annual tax expenditure report required by 7-1-84 NMSA 1978.++ADMINISTRATIVE IMPLICATIONS++HB106 requires ECECD to certify eligibility every month for each child, creating a steady+stream of applications, verification tasks, and data management responsibilities resulting in a+demand for new staffing, updated technology systems, and stronger coordination with TRD to+ensure accurate and timely processing of refundable credits. Verifying that children are not+enrolled in any public or private child care or pre‑K program also adds complexity, increasing+the need for agency-wide data checks and clear procedures to prevent errors or duplicate claims.++House Bill 106 – Page 5++Because the taxpayer must apply for a certification of eligibility from the ECECD for the tax credit,+ECECD estimates that three (3) additional Full Time Employees (FTEs) will be required to process+certifications of eligibility. ECECD estimates that the cost of each FTE will be approximately $83,680+each, per year, including benefits, for a total of $251,040 without which ECECD cannot absorb the+additional work required.++OTHER SUBSTANTIVE ISSUES++In assessing all tax legislation, LFC staff considers whether the proposal is aligned with committee-+adopted tax policy principles. Those five principles:+• Adequacy: Revenue should be adequate to fund needed government services.+• Efficiency: Tax base should be as broad as possible and avoid excess reliance on one tax.+• Equity: Different taxpayers should be treated fairly.+• Simplicity: Collection should be simple and easily understood.+• Accountability: Preferences should be easy to monitor and evaluate.++In addition, staff reviews whether the bill meets principles specific to tax expenditures. Those policies and+how this bill addresses those issues:++Tax Expenditure Policy Principle Met? Comments+Vetted: The proposed new or expanded tax expenditure was vetted+through interim legislative committees, such as LFC and the Revenue+Stabilization and Tax Policy Committee, to review fiscal, legal, and+general policy parameters.++No record of interim+committee hearing+could be found.+Targeted: The tax expenditure has a clearly stated purpose, long -term+goals, and measurable annual targets designed to mark progress toward+the goals.++Purpose is implicit –+to encourage stay-+at-home parents.+Clearly stated purpose +Long-term goals +Measurable targets ?+Transparent: The tax expenditure requires at least annual reporting by+the recipients, the Taxation and Revenue Department, and other relevant+agencies++Will be published in+the Tax Expenditure+Report required by+7-1-84 NMSA 19878+Accountable: The required reporting allows for analysis by members of+the public to determine progress toward annual targets and determination+of effectiveness and efficiency. The tax expenditure is set to expire unless+legislative action is taken to review the tax expenditure and extend the+expiration date.++The public will be+confused by the+increase in the tax+expenditure and a+corresponding+reduction in child+care subsidies.+Public analysis +Expiration date +Effective: The tax expenditure fulfills the stated purpose. If the tax+expenditure is designed to alter behavior – for example, economic+development incentives intended to increase economic growth – there are+indicators the recipients would not have performed the desired actions+“but for” the existence of the tax expenditure.+ Will be plagued with+buying the base+Implicit purpose can+be measured. Fulfills stated purpose ?+Passes “but for” test +Efficient: The tax expenditure is the most cost-effective way to achieve+the desired results.+Key: Met Not Met ? Unclear++LG/JF/ct/cf/sgs
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